Accuracy › Champions League
Graded in public
Champions League prediction accuracy: 36 graded official predictions, 1X2 hit rate, Brier score and the latest graded matches — settled in public.
| Market | Graded calls | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|
| Win/draw/loss | 36 | 75% (27/36) |
| Over/under 2.5 | 36 | 78% (28/36) |
| Both teams score | 36 | 64% (23/36) |
| Exact score | 36 | 3% (1/36) |
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | Score | Pick | 1X2 | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov | Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis | 2–1 | Home win | Correct | 0.496 |
| 4 Nov | PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge | 1–2 | Away win | Correct | 0.537 |
| 4 Nov | Slavia Prague vs Arsenal | 1–2 | Away win | Correct | 0.348 |
| 4 Nov | Lens vs Como | 1–9 | Away win | Correct | 0.457 |
| 4 Nov | FC Porto vs Napoli | 4–1 | Home win | Correct | 0.573 |
| 4 Nov | Viking FK vs Sabah FK | 4–1 | Home win | Correct | 0.517 |
| 4 Nov | RB Leipzig vs Manchester City | 2–3 | Away win | Correct | 0.453 |
| 4 Nov | Fenerbahce vs Liverpool | 3–2 | Away win | Missed | 0.995 |
Data as of 2026-11-08 00:35 UTC · How the model works · Champions League predictions · CSV
Only official Champions League predictions count here — one per selected match, locked one hour before kick-off and settled against the real final score. The hit rate is the share of matches where the most likely outcome happened; the Brier and RPS scores grade the probabilities themselves, so honest calibration beats lucky picks. Sample size is large enough to judge skill.