Prediction accuracy

Every Footalytics prediction is recorded before kick-off and settled automatically against the real final score. The dashboard shows hit rates by league, market (1X2, both teams to score, over/under) and time window, with Brier scores and confidence intervals.

How to read it

• Hit rate: share of matches where the most likely outcome happened.
• Brier score: lower is better; it rewards well-calibrated probabilities, not just right picks.
• Small samples are flagged — a few matches say little about skill.

Live figures load in the app. How the model works