Accuracy › La Liga
Graded in public
La Liga prediction accuracy: 31 graded official predictions, 1X2 hit rate, Brier score and the latest graded matches — settled in public.
| Market | Graded calls | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|
| Win/draw/loss | 31 | 55% (17/31) |
| Over/under 2.5 | 31 | 58% (18/31) |
| Both teams score | 31 | 55% (17/31) |
| Exact score | 31 | 10% (3/31) |
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | Score | Pick | 1X2 | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov | Osasuna vs Athletic Club | 1–1 | Away win | Missed | 0.798 |
| 7 Nov | Espanyol vs Deportivo | 0–0 | Away win | Missed | 0.785 |
| 7 Nov | Málaga vs Racing Santander | 1–2 | Home win | Missed | 0.646 |
| 6 Nov | Sevilla vs Alavés | 0–0 | Home win | Missed | 0.807 |
| 2 Nov | Deportivo vs Osasuna | 2–1 | Home win | Correct | 0.462 |
| 1 Nov | Racing Santander vs Real Madrid | 0–3 | Away win | Correct | 0.275 |
| 1 Nov | Getafe vs Sevilla | 3–1 | Home win | Correct | 0.579 |
| 31 Oct | Barcelona vs Alavés | 6–1 | Home win | Correct | 0.209 |
Data as of 2026-11-08 00:35 UTC · How the model works · La Liga predictions · CSV
Only official La Liga predictions count here — one per selected match, locked one hour before kick-off and settled against the real final score. The hit rate is the share of matches where the most likely outcome happened; the Brier and RPS scores grade the probabilities themselves, so honest calibration beats lucky picks. Sample size is large enough to judge skill.