Accuracy › Serie A
Graded in public
Serie A prediction accuracy: 43 graded official predictions, 1X2 hit rate, Brier score and the latest graded matches — settled in public.
| Market | Graded calls | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|
| Win/draw/loss | 43 | 63% (27/43) |
| Over/under 2.5 | 43 | 65% (28/43) |
| Both teams score | 43 | 56% (24/43) |
| Exact score | 43 | 2% (1/43) |
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | Score | Pick | 1X2 | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov | Parma vs Bologna | 1–2 | Away win | Correct | 0.516 |
| 7 Nov | Cagliari vs Frosinone | 1–0 | Home win | Correct | 0.608 |
| 7 Nov | Torino vs Lecce | 1–1 | Home win | Missed | 0.839 |
| 6 Nov | Venezia vs Udinese | 2–1 | Home win | Correct | 0.517 |
| 2 Nov | Atalanta vs Parma | 0–3 | Home win | Missed | 0.924 |
| 2 Nov | Sassuolo vs Fiorentina | 2–4 | Home win | Missed | 0.641 |
| 1 Nov | Frosinone vs Torino | 2–0 | Home win | Correct | 0.459 |
| 1 Nov | Lazio vs Cagliari | 2–1 | Home win | Correct | 0.276 |
Data as of 2026-11-08 00:35 UTC · How the model works · Serie A predictions · CSV
Only official Serie A predictions count here — one per selected match, locked one hour before kick-off and settled against the real final score. The hit rate is the share of matches where the most likely outcome happened; the Brier and RPS scores grade the probabilities themselves, so honest calibration beats lucky picks. Sample size is large enough to judge skill.