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Brasileirão Série BFortaleza
VSVila NovaMatch preview
Fortaleza host Vila Nova in the Brasileirão Série B on Sat 14 Nov · 19:30 UTC. Fortaleza sit 5th on 61 points after 35 games; Vila Nova are 3th on 63.
The official Footalytics prediction for this match is published closer to kick-off (24–48 h before, refreshed in the final six hours and locked one hour out). Until then, ask the AI for a live read — it computes probabilities on demand from the same model.
Home advantage matters here: Fortaleza sit 5th on 61 points and will expect to make home form count against the 3th-placed visitors.
Under the numbers: strength ratings, recent form and home advantage give each side an expected-goals estimate; a Dixon-Coles adjusted Poisson model turns those into win/draw/loss and scoreline probabilities. The AI explains the result in plain language — it never invents the numbers.
Table snapshot
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Vila Nova | 36 | 18-9-9 | +14 | 63 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 35 | 16-13-6 | +12 | 61 |
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Kick-off times in UTC.