Leagues › UEFA Nations League › Match preview

UEFA Nations League

Italy

VSFrance
🕒 Thu 12 Nov · 19:45 UTC🏟 Italy at home
AI predict this match →Free · probabilities in seconds

Match preview

Italy host France in the UEFA Nations League on Thu 12 Nov · 19:45 UTC. Italy sit 2th on 7 points after 4 games; France are 1th on 10.

The official Footalytics prediction for this match is published closer to kick-off (24–48 h before, refreshed in the final six hours and locked one hour out). Until then, ask the AI for a live read — it computes probabilities on demand from the same model.

Home advantage matters here: Italy sit 2th on 7 points and will expect to make home form count against the 1th-placed visitors.

Under the numbers: strength ratings, recent form and home advantage give each side an expected-goals estimate; a Dixon-Coles adjusted Poisson model turns those into win/draw/loss and scoreline probabilities. The AI explains the result in plain language — it never invents the numbers.

New to prediction numbers? Start with win/draw/loss probabilities explained, then see how every official pick is graded on the public accuracy dashboard.

Table snapshot

#TeamPW-D-LGDPts
1France43-1-0+510
2Italy42-1-1+37

More UEFA Nations League matches

Thursday 12 November

Kick-off times in UTC.