Bulgaria

VSIceland

🕒 Fri 13 Nov · 19:45 UTC🏟 Bulgaria at home

AI predict this match →Free · probabilities in seconds

Match preview

Bulgaria host Iceland in the UEFA Nations League on Fri 13 Nov · 19:45 UTC. Bulgaria sit 3th on 4 points after 4 games; Iceland are 1th on 8.

The official Footalytics prediction for this match is published closer to kick-off (24–48 h before, refreshed in the final six hours and locked one hour out). Until then, ask the AI for a live read — it computes probabilities on demand from the same model.

Home advantage matters here: Bulgaria sit 3th on 4 points and will expect to make home form count against the 1th-placed visitors.

Under the numbers: strength ratings, recent form and home advantage give each side an expected-goals estimate; a Dixon-Coles adjusted Poisson model turns those into win/draw/loss and scoreline probabilities. The AI explains the result in plain language — it never invents the numbers.

New to prediction numbers? Start with win/draw/loss probabilities explained, then see how every official pick is graded on the public accuracy dashboard.