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UEFA Nations LeagueLatvia
VSArmeniaMatch preview
Latvia host Armenia in the UEFA Nations League on Sun 15 Nov · 14:00 UTC. Latvia sit 4th on 1 points after 4 games; Armenia are 3th on 4.
The official Footalytics prediction for this match is published closer to kick-off (24–48 h before, refreshed in the final six hours and locked one hour out). Until then, ask the AI for a live read — it computes probabilities on demand from the same model.
Home advantage matters here: Latvia sit 4th on 1 points and will expect to make home form count against the 3th-placed visitors.
Under the numbers: strength ratings, recent form and home advantage give each side an expected-goals estimate; a Dixon-Coles adjusted Poisson model turns those into win/draw/loss and scoreline probabilities. The AI explains the result in plain language — it never invents the numbers.
Table snapshot
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Armenia | 4 | 1-1-2 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Latvia | 4 | 0-1-3 | -4 | 1 |
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Thursday 12 November
Kick-off times in UTC.