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UEFA Nations LeagueFinland
VSSan MarinoMatch preview
Finland host San Marino in the UEFA Nations League on Sun 15 Nov · 17:00 UTC. Finland sit 3th on 7 points after 4 games; San Marino are 4th on 0.
The official Footalytics prediction for this match is published closer to kick-off (24–48 h before, refreshed in the final six hours and locked one hour out). Until then, ask the AI for a live read — it computes probabilities on demand from the same model.
Home advantage matters here: Finland sit 3th on 7 points and will expect to make home form count against the 4th-placed visitors.
Under the numbers: strength ratings, recent form and home advantage give each side an expected-goals estimate; a Dixon-Coles adjusted Poisson model turns those into win/draw/loss and scoreline probabilities. The AI explains the result in plain language — it never invents the numbers.
Table snapshot
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Finland | 4 | 2-1-1 | +7 | 7 |
| 4 | San Marino | 4 | 0-0-4 | -15 | 0 |
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Thursday 12 November
Kick-off times in UTC.