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UEFA Nations LeagueBelgium
VSItalyMatch preview
Belgium host Italy in the UEFA Nations League on Sun 15 Nov · 19:45 UTC. Belgium sit 3th on 6 points after 4 games; Italy are 2th on 7.
The official Footalytics prediction for this match is published closer to kick-off (24–48 h before, refreshed in the final six hours and locked one hour out). Until then, ask the AI for a live read — it computes probabilities on demand from the same model.
Home advantage matters here: Belgium sit 3th on 6 points and will expect to make home form count against the 2th-placed visitors.
Under the numbers: strength ratings, recent form and home advantage give each side an expected-goals estimate; a Dixon-Coles adjusted Poisson model turns those into win/draw/loss and scoreline probabilities. The AI explains the result in plain language — it never invents the numbers.
Table snapshot
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2-1-1 | +3 | 7 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2-0-2 | +1 | 6 |
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Thursday 12 November
Kick-off times in UTC.