FOOTPredictions › 1X2 football predictions
Probabilities, graded in public
1X2 football predictions
What 1X2 means, how win/draw/loss probabilities are produced, and today's matches with the model's three numbers on every fixture.
What it means
1X2 is the shorthand for football's three outcomes: 1 = home win, X = draw, 2 = away win. A prediction gives each a probability — say 55% / 25% / 20% — and the three always sum to 100%, because exactly one of them happens.
It is the market every other football number is built on: the same scoreline distribution that produces 1X2 also produces over/under, both-teams-to-score and correct-score probabilities, so a match's numbers always tell one consistent story.
How the model prices it
Strength ratings, recent form and home advantage are turned into expected goals for each side; a Dixon-Coles adjusted Poisson model converts those into a probability for every scoreline; the win, draw and away-win regions of that matrix are summed into the three 1X2 numbers.
Official predictions only, settled against real final scores — see the dashboard for windows and league splits.
Today's matches
One tap asks the AI this exact question for that match.
What the numbers are worth
Read the numbers comparatively: a 55% favourite wins roughly eleven of twenty replays — and loses nine; 70%+ is a strong favourite; below 45% the model is saying it cannot separate the sides. Every official 1X2 prediction is graded against the real score on the public dashboard.
FAQ
What does 1X2 stand for?
1 = home win, X = draw, 2 = away win — the three possible outcomes of a match, each with its own probability.
Is a 60% favourite safe?
No — it means the model expects that side to win about three of every five replays. In football, favourites drop points constantly; 60% is a clear edge, not a formality.
Why is the draw probability never tiny?
Draws happen in roughly a quarter of top-league matches, and both sides have to be good enough to avoid losing and not good enough to win. Any honest model shows the draw real mass.
Where can I see 1X2 accuracy?
On the public accuracy dashboard: every official prediction's 1X2 call is settled against the real final score, with hit rates by league, market and time window.