FOOTPredictions › Clean sheet predictions
Probabilities, graded in public
Clean sheet predictions
What a clean sheet is, how its probability comes from the scoreline matrix, and today's fixtures with the strongest defensive reads.
What it means
A clean sheet is a match in which a team concedes zero goals: every 1–0, 2–0, 0–0 and any win or draw with a shutout defence. It is the defensive mirror of the BTTS market — "at least one clean sheet in the match" is exactly the same event as "BTTS: no".
Favourites' clean-sheet probability is the mirror of their opponent's failure to score: a strong host facing a blunt attack owns the highest shutout probabilities on the board, which is what this ranking surfaces.
How the model prices it
From the same Poisson scoreline matrix: the clean-sheet probability for a side is the sum of every scoreline in which that side concedes zero. The per-row chip on this page shows the honest aggregate — the probability that at least one of the two sides keeps a clean sheet (1 − BTTS).
Official predictions only, settled against real final scores — see the dashboard for windows and league splits.
Today's matches
One tap asks the AI this exact question for that match.
What the numbers are worth
Two honest notes: the aggregate number cannot tell you which side keeps the sheet — ask the AI about the specific match for that split — and defensive probability is the first thing injuries move, so check line-ups before treating any number as final.
FAQ
What is a clean sheet in football?
A match in which a team concedes no goals at all. Both teams keep one in a 0–0.
How is the clean sheet probability calculated?
Sum every scoreline in which the side concedes zero — a direct read-out of the same Poisson matrix that produces all the match's numbers.
Does a 0–0 count as a clean sheet for both teams?
Yes — neither side conceded, so both keep a clean sheet and BTTS is no.
How is this graded in public?
Through the BTTS market: every official prediction's BTTS line is settled against the real score, and BTTS-no is exactly the at-least-one-clean-sheet outcome.