FOOTPredictions › Double chance predictions
Probabilities, graded in public
Double chance predictions
How 1X, 12 and X2 probabilities come straight from the 1X2 numbers, and today's matches with the strongest side covered.
What it means
Double chance covers two of football's three outcomes at once: 1X = home win or draw, 12 = either side wins (no draw), X2 = draw or away win. Because the three outcomes are exhaustive, a double-chance probability is simply the sum of its two parts — 55% + 25% = 80% for 1X.
It is the clearest way to express how uncertain a favourite is: an 80% 1X still fails one time in five, and the number makes that visible instead of hiding it behind a single pick.
How the model prices it
No separate model is needed: the double-chance probabilities are sums of the same Dixon-Coles 1X2 output, so they are automatically consistent with the win/draw/loss, over/under and BTTS numbers for the match.
Official predictions only, settled against real final scores — see the dashboard for windows and league splits.
Today's matches
One tap asks the AI this exact question for that match.
What the numbers are worth
Use double chance to compare how much risk a pick still carries: a 75% 1X and an 85% 1X look similar in a pick list, but the first fails one time in four. The trade-off is real — covering two outcomes always means accepting a lower probability than the single best outcome.
FAQ
What does 1X mean in football?
Home win or draw — the home side avoids defeat. X2 is its mirror (draw or away win), and 12 means the match does not end level.
How is the double chance probability calculated?
Add the two covered outcomes' probabilities from the same model output: P(1X) = P(home win) + P(draw). Nothing else is involved.
Is 12 the same as "no draw"?
Yes — 12 means either side wins, i.e. the match ends in a result rather than a tie.
Where can I see double chance numbers?
Right here on today's fixtures, and you can ask the AI for the 1X / 12 / X2 split on any specific match.