FOOTGlossary › Correct score
Definition
Correct score
The model's probability for one exact final score — the hardest thing in football to call.
Why the top line is so low
Dozens of plausible scorelines share the probability mass, so even the likeliest line in a balanced match (usually 1-1 or 1-0) sits around 10-13%. Low numbers are honesty, not weakness.
How we publish it
Every official prediction publishes its top three scorelines with probabilities, and the exact-score hit rate is graded on the public dashboard.
FAQ
What is the most common scoreline in football?
Across the top leagues, 1-1 and 1-0 are the most frequent final scores.
Can the model predict the exact score?
It assigns probabilities to every scoreline; the top pick is the single most likely, never a guarantee.