Glossary › Double chance

Definition

Double chance

Two of the three outcomes counted together — its probability is simply the sum of the two.

Definition

1X = home win or draw; 12 = either side wins (no draw); X2 = draw or away win. Because the three outcomes are exhaustive, a double-chance probability is just the sum of its two parts: 55% + 25% = 80% for 1X.

Why it matters for reading predictions

Double chance is the clearest way to express how uncertain a favourite is: an 80% 1X still fails one time in five.

FAQ

How is double chance calculated?

Add the two covered outcomes' probabilities from the same model output.

Is 12 the same as no draw?

Yes — it means the match ends in a win for one side.